2022 U.S. Congressional (and Other) Elections
Re: 2022 U.S. Congressional Elections
Dang, that's a cute picture.
If there was anything that depressed him more than his own cynicism, it was that quite often it still wasn't as cynical as real life.
Terry Pratchett, Guards! Guards!
Terry Pratchett, Guards! Guards!
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Re: 2022 U.S. Congressional Elections
Speaking of 2022 senate candidate J.D. Vance:
(1) In 2016, Vance announced that he was moving back to Ohio to launch a non-profit organization to fight drug addiction. Earlier this week, Business Insider published an article about the organization's work. It seems to have done almost nothing. The magazine had an independent expert in non-profit taxes review the filings by the organization, Our Ohio Renewal, and found that it spent more on its executive director than on its nominal services; he refered to the filings as "a charade." Also the organization has shut down its website.
(2) Yesterday Vance tweeted this about Jeffrey Epstein: "Remember when we learned that our wealthiest and most powerful people were connected to a guy who ran a literal child sex trafficking ring? And then that guy died mysteriously in a jail? And now we just don't talk about it."
Does that mean Vance is turning on Donald Trump?
(1) In 2016, Vance announced that he was moving back to Ohio to launch a non-profit organization to fight drug addiction. Earlier this week, Business Insider published an article about the organization's work. It seems to have done almost nothing. The magazine had an independent expert in non-profit taxes review the filings by the organization, Our Ohio Renewal, and found that it spent more on its executive director than on its nominal services; he refered to the filings as "a charade." Also the organization has shut down its website.
(2) Yesterday Vance tweeted this about Jeffrey Epstein: "Remember when we learned that our wealthiest and most powerful people were connected to a guy who ran a literal child sex trafficking ring? And then that guy died mysteriously in a jail? And now we just don't talk about it."
Does that mean Vance is turning on Donald Trump?
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Re: 2022 U.S. Congressional Elections
No.
"Spirits in the shape of hawks and eagles flew ever to and from his halls; and their eyes could see to the depths of the seas, and pierce the hidden caverns beneath the world."
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Re: 2022 U.S. Congressional Elections
The latest bound to fail effort to pass a voting rights bill.
Democrats cut deal with Manchin to get party behind long-shot voting overhaul bill
I am quite sure that Manchin is well affair that there is no chance that 10 Republicans are going to support this (or any, most likely). Once that occurs, will he change his tune on a carve-out to the filibuster? I wouldn't bet my house on it. In fact, I wouldn't bet the birdhouse in the yard on it.
Democrats cut deal with Manchin to get party behind long-shot voting overhaul bill
I am quite sure that Manchin is well affair that there is no chance that 10 Republicans are going to support this (or any, most likely). Once that occurs, will he change his tune on a carve-out to the filibuster? I wouldn't bet my house on it. In fact, I wouldn't bet the birdhouse in the yard on it.
"Spirits in the shape of hawks and eagles flew ever to and from his halls; and their eyes could see to the depths of the seas, and pierce the hidden caverns beneath the world."
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Re: 2022 U.S. Congressional Elections
The California recall election was called in favor of keeping Newsom in office within minutes of the polls closing. A big waste of over $300 million.
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Re: 2022 U.S. Congressional Elections
Yeah, they need to raise the threshold for those things -- signatures from just 12% of the number of people who voted for governor in the last election were needed to put this on the ballot.
And maybe California should require that U.S. Senators who leave office before their term expires must be replaced by someone from the same party? The leading Republican candidate said hat if he won and Dianne Feinstein were to step down, he'd replace her with a Republican.
And maybe California should require that U.S. Senators who leave office before their term expires must be replaced by someone from the same party? The leading Republican candidate said hat if he won and Dianne Feinstein were to step down, he'd replace her with a Republican.
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Re: 2022 U.S. Congressional Elections
And it looks like none of the above was the leading candidate to replace Newsom?
Re: 2022 U.S. Congressional Elections
I guess Abbott and DeSantis were of some service. We could point and say, look, do you want us to end up like Texas and Florida?
If there was anything that depressed him more than his own cynicism, it was that quite often it still wasn't as cynical as real life.
Terry Pratchett, Guards! Guards!
Terry Pratchett, Guards! Guards!
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Re: 2022 U.S. Congressional Elections
We had a mayoral election tonight in Cleveland that had one nationally-known candidate: Dennis Kuchinich, the "boy mayor" of Cleveland in the 1970s, now 74, who was a U.S. Congressman from 1997 to 2013 and a candidate for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2004 and 2008. I voted for him a number of times for Congress, but never for the presidency and not today for mayor. (The top two candidates today, Justin Bibb and Kevin Kelly, both Democrats, will face off in November.)
Re: 2022 U.S. Congressional Elections
Huh. Another Kevin? Somehow there were three Kevins on the California governor wannabe list.
A glitch in the matrix?
A glitch in the matrix?
If there was anything that depressed him more than his own cynicism, it was that quite often it still wasn't as cynical as real life.
Terry Pratchett, Guards! Guards!
Terry Pratchett, Guards! Guards!
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Re: 2022 U.S. Congressional Elections
The results that I am seeing show Elder way, way ahead with 46.6% of the vote (compared to Paffrath with 9.8% in second). Of course there are much fewer votes on question 2 than question 1, but only the votes that are actually cast count.N.E. Brigand wrote: ↑Wed Sep 15, 2021 6:06 am And it looks like none of the above was the leading candidate to replace Newsom?
"Spirits in the shape of hawks and eagles flew ever to and from his halls; and their eyes could see to the depths of the seas, and pierce the hidden caverns beneath the world."
Re: 2022 U.S. Congressional Elections
There was no None of the Above option.
Newsom's controversial strategy was to tell his supporters to leave the second question blank. Perhaps that's what NE meant? That's different from None of the Above that, if it gained the most votes, would require a new slate.
The California ballot must have been designed by the same people who ran the Crimea "referendum." One page had a bunch of instructions and a small space for a yes or no vote on recall. The other had a long list of candidates for the replacement governor.
It would be ridiculously easy to miss the question on the first page entirely, if one didn't pay attention.
Had 50%+1 voted yes on the 1st question, whoever got the most vote on the 2nd question would have become the new Governor.
Newsom's controversial strategy was to tell his supporters to leave the second question blank. Perhaps that's what NE meant? That's different from None of the Above that, if it gained the most votes, would require a new slate.
The California ballot must have been designed by the same people who ran the Crimea "referendum." One page had a bunch of instructions and a small space for a yes or no vote on recall. The other had a long list of candidates for the replacement governor.
It would be ridiculously easy to miss the question on the first page entirely, if one didn't pay attention.
Had 50%+1 voted yes on the 1st question, whoever got the most vote on the 2nd question would have become the new Governor.
If there was anything that depressed him more than his own cynicism, it was that quite often it still wasn't as cynical as real life.
Terry Pratchett, Guards! Guards!
Terry Pratchett, Guards! Guards!
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Re: 2022 U.S. Congressional Elections
Sorry, yes, when I wrote that last night, it appeared that a plurality of voters had not answered question number two.
Checking one site, it appears that 9.18 million ballots have been counted, and on the question of who should replace Gavin Newsom, Larry Elder has 2.37 million votes (25.8%), but 4.12 million people (44.9%) didn't pick any candidate. Thus while Elder would be the governor had "Yes" won on question number one, I think it's fair to say that he's losing by 18 points to none of the above. (It's somewhat analogous to Bush received fewer votes than Gore and Trump having received fewer votes than Clinton.)
Checking one site, it appears that 9.18 million ballots have been counted, and on the question of who should replace Gavin Newsom, Larry Elder has 2.37 million votes (25.8%), but 4.12 million people (44.9%) didn't pick any candidate. Thus while Elder would be the governor had "Yes" won on question number one, I think it's fair to say that he's losing by 18 points to none of the above. (It's somewhat analogous to Bush received fewer votes than Gore and Trump having received fewer votes than Clinton.)
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Re: 2022 U.S. Congressional Elections
Sorry, but that is incorrect reasoning. The people who voted "no" and didn't pick a replacement candidate weren't voting for "none of the above" they were doubly voting for Newsom.
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Re: 2022 U.S. Congressional Elections
Ah, so it would better to say that Elder is actually losing to Newsom on question number two by 18 points.
Or to put it another way: I wasn't including Newsom in "the above."
Or to put it another way: I wasn't including Newsom in "the above."
Last edited by N.E. Brigand on Thu Sep 16, 2021 8:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: 2022 U.S. Congressional Elections
It is, however, very telling that of the people that voted no, such a high percentage voted for Elder (far exceeding the number that polls were showing). It is another indication of where the GOP is right now.
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Re: 2022 U.S. Congressional Elections
Ohio's redistricting commission is nominally bipartisan but actually controlled by Republicans. They've issued their new maps. The maps maintain Republican super-majority control. Why? Because, the Republicans say, they won 13 of the past 16 statewide elections, and that's 81%.
But they won those races with an average total of 54%.
But they won those races with an average total of 54%.
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Re: 2022 U.S. Congressional Elections
U.S. Representative Anthony Gonzalez of Ohio's 16th disrict was one of the ten Republicans to vote for Donald Trump's impeachment earlier this year. Today he announced that he won't be running for reelection in 2022. As currently configured, his rather irregularly shaped district extends to within a few miles of my house.
Re: 2022 U.S. Congressional Elections
This sounds like a feedback loop.N.E. Brigand wrote: ↑Thu Sep 16, 2021 8:45 pm Ohio's redistricting commission is nominally bipartisan but actually controlled by Republicans. They've issued their new maps. The maps maintain Republican super-majority control. Why? Because, the Republicans say, they won 13 of the past 16 statewide elections, and that's 81%.
When you can do nothing what can you do?